Sunday, April 13, 2014

Think or Swim ThinkBack error for stock splits

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While backtesting some option strategies in TOS I noticed a problem with the thinkback tool. When a stock price splits / reverse splits, the option prices don't reflect the stock price split. Instead the options are now priced to the new stock price without adjusting for the split. ThinkorSwim is working on resolving the bug.

Example- BIB had a 2:1 stock split 1/24/14.

 BIB 90 strike CALL 1/23/14 = 94.80.

 

 BIB 90 strike CALL 1/24/14 = 3.80

 

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Penny Stock Pump and Dumps

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I'm sure many people have recently seen the movie "Wolf on Wall Street" and wondered how people could get peddled into buying such crappy companies back in the 1980's and 90's. Surely this wouldn't happen again in today's time with all of the information freely available by doing a quick search on Google. Well, these pump and dumps scams still continue to happen everyday, and I'm shocked at the most recent story concerning one of the biggest pump and dump promoters to date; John Babikian.
There are numerous articles (1 , 2, 3 ) telling the story of how he used his website Awesomepenniestocks.com to pump and dump penny stocks, and all the while make millions in the process. It just makes me sick to think that people still fall for this stuff everyday. There is a website detailing most of the penny stocks that the promoter pumped at awesomepennyscams. Please do your research before ever trading any of these stocks. I myself keep hearing about how people are becoming millionaires trading these penny stocks, but I guarantee you there are far more people losing than making money trading these OTC stocks. Trading is a very had business to be in and penny stocks are the riskiest of all the types of stocks you can trade. Do not believe the hype or believe that it's easy to become a millionaire trading these stocks.

Saturday, December 01, 2012

Free Resources to learning R and other coding languages

6 comments
R projectR is a free software environment for statistical computing and graphics. It compiles and runs on a wide variety of UNIX platforms, Windows and MacOS.

R StudioRStudio IDE is a powerful and productive user interface for R. It’s free and open source, and works great on Windows, Mac, and Linux.

R Cookbook - Download link to an introductory book to learning R.

R Tutorial Blog - A blog with lots of R tutorials.

Coursera's R course - Recorded R lessons from Coursera on youtube.

R Intro Book - Another great introductory pdf book on R.

Codecademy - Codecademy is the easiest way to learn to code. It's interactive, fun, and you can do it with your friends. They have interactive tutorials on Javascript, HTML/CSS, Python, and Ruby.



Friday, November 30, 2012

Day Trader Evolution

8 comments
Over the years many discretionary traders have moved on to other jobs. Today's traders have evolved into trading from a more quantitative/automated approach. Trading volume the last 3 years has been decreasing and the ability to scalp the emini's has been increasingly difficult for discretionary traders. I was checking out my old but popular Trading Blogs list and found that most of the blogs have vanished or the authors stopped posting around 2009. I would like to link some new interesting blogs and trading related websites that I checkout frequently.

ZeroHedge - The main author who calls himself by the popular fictitious movie character; "Tyler Durden", from the movie Fight Club, and various other authors report the news. They also have a separate live news reporting broadcast(Talking Forex). They report some good information, but take everything they write with a grain of salt and try not turning into a doom and gloom fan or gold bug.

Quantum Blog - A quiet matlab / algorithmic trading blog that discusses his backtesting results. He also authors the blog Trading with Python.

Milk Trader - Another aspiring automated trader that writes about his coding in "R" and shares backtest results from various strategies he's tested; the breakfast spread is my favorite.

Quantifiable Edges - A long standing blog that shares a plethora of backtest results from Gap trades to day of the week probabilities.

Systematic Investor - A systematic approach to trading focusing on long/short strategies, technical analysis and lots of code samples with backtest results.

Timely Portfolio - Another R blog with lots of backtests and strategy discussion.

Mebane Faber - A portfolio manager at Cambria Investment Management shares his model and discusses strategies and trends.

Quantitative Trading - Ernest Chan's blog on trading strategies.

Condor Options - Lots of good articles on options, spreads, and volatility.

I am futures Trader - Chris, an independent trader gives his take on the market and setups he's looking at.

Michael Covel - Lots of good interviews from professional traders and trend following strategy information.

Automated Trading System - Trend following systems and performance results as well as free code.

Automated Trader - A website with articles, news, videos and more on everything automated.

Learning Markets - Great articles on trading.

Scarr Visual Trading - Spread charts, some free, most for a subscription. The ability to compare up to 5 years at a time on a spread from one year vs another is nice. Now if only someone made a website with historical term structure charts going back 10 years.

Quantpedia - A new website made from the guys at FinFiz that provides proven trading strategies (mostly taken from white papers) and lets you decide which one to trade, with a subscription of course. Not that expensive if you consider the alternatives to spending hours scouring finance journals, algotradinggroup forum or SSRN.

HPT

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Today's reads

0 comments
Find your niche - great article on the common pitfalls in trading.

Five years ago today - Ben Stein in all his genius was wrong about the housing bubble.

My life in finance - Eugene F. Fama's (father of efficient market hypothesis) autobiography.

Thursday, July 19, 2012

Futures Trading Prices and Data Feed

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When traders consider futures trading platforms they choose those platforms that have the technical specs, the visual appeal and the stability required in aggregating large files of data. However, traders should also consider two aspects when it comes to trading futures:

1)   Low latency delivery of trades. In the exchanges where institutions compare nano seconds, you should consider data feeds that would deliver your trade as fast as possible.  Keep in mind, in the exchange it’s first in and first out, so the idea of you being a head in your trading execution is important.
2)   Unfiltered data. You can only develop a good methodology if you have all facts so having an unfiltered data will give you a complete picture of what is happening in the market place. Many use aggregate data that simply can skew data that chart traders rely on.

One such data that feed you will find appealing is Rithmic
Rithmic advantages include:
  • Unfiltered data: During volatile periods you get an accurate picture of price activity, because Rithmic provides a very stable data feed. You will actually see true “tick-by-tick” data instead of “data blocks” like most other data providers. You get a clear and instantaneous picture of price activity.
  • Rithmic’s servers are co-located right on the major exchanges and provide high-end stable connectivity and smart order routing solution that can meet the demands of the most demanding retail traders. 
  • Stability:  Rithmic’s infrastructure sits atop the most sophisticated and highly reliable infrastructure and is monitored at all times by top quality programmers

Take a look at futures trading platforms that Rithmic could be applied to: This site belongs to a futures broker  Optimus Trading Group, a brokerage dedicated self directed futures traders.


Monday, May 23, 2011

Delta Divergence Short Setup on Crude Oil

1 comments
I noticed this nice short setup on CL today. Cumulative Delta was lower while price was higher(also it was a morning High of Day).

Monday, May 09, 2011

Delta Footprint Charts

5 comments
The key move occurred at 8:46am (11:46am EST).

Cumulative Delta goes negative @ 8:46, then price reverses and goes higher past negative Delta price level. MELT UP!

The Cum. Delta started dropping at 842.5 at a key reversal time period 11:45am (2:45pm EST)

Tuesday, December 07, 2010

Best futures Broker Based on Commissions, Data Feed, and Trading Platform

4 comments
I've reviewed some of the most popular Futures Brokers available to retail traders and rated them based on Commission. Finding the best broker based on commission should be one of the top factors you have when selecting your broker, because you can save you thousands of dollars per year by choosing the right one. I've put together a table comparing each broker based on their "advertised" commissions. Some brokers are negotiable in their commission rates, so be sure to call the broker your interested in before making the final decision. Remember, Commissions alone should not be your sole determining factor in choosing your broker, you should also consider data feed speed and reliability as well as the trading platform offered in which you will be placing your trades on.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Video on How to Read the Time and Sales

0 comments
A live trade setup from the chat room today showing what the time and sales should look like on a breakout trade for the Dow emini futures (YM).

Saturday, October 16, 2010

Rithmic Data Feed (Optimus Futures) vs InteractiveBrokers

0 comments
In this video I go over the Rithmic data feed and how it is one of the fastest data feeds available for futures traders. I compare Rithmic vs Interactive Brokers data feed and detail the strength and weaknesses of both.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Automated Trade System From NinjaTrader to Bracket Trader to Interactive Brokers

0 comments
This is a Video I made showing automated trades being sent from NinjaTrader to Bracket Trader to Interactive Brokers

How to Setup an Automated Trade System From NinjaTrader to ZeroLine Trader

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There are several reasons why someone might want to use ZeroLine Trader over NinjaTraders built in Trade Management software. You may like Zeroline Trader's trade management software over Ninjatraders ATM software because it is easy to use and you can customize your strategies in Zeroline Trader to your liking. You may also be using Zeroline Trader over NinjaTrader because you don't want to pay to have to use NinjaTrader but you like the charts and strategies that you've designed. Many people will install NinjaTrader and develop an automated trade system but never go live with it because of the extra fee's it costs to use NinjaTraders Trade management software. If you are client of Interactive Brokers there is a simple way around those fees by using another 3rd party application to manage the trade like ZeroLine Trader.

What you can do is setup an automated trade system in NinjaTrader and instead of using NinjaTrader trade management software, you send an email out to ZeroLine Trader to place the trade for you, and then ZeroLine Trader sends the order to Interactive Brokers. Using the Perl script I've written, and with a little bit of coding, this is a very simple setup and gives you a fully functional automated trade system for Ninjatrader through Interactive Brokers without the extra cost of having to own Ninjatrader or pay the extra cost for placing each trade. Having the automated trade system run directly through Ninjatrader to Interactive Brokers will be slightly faster and may be slightly easier to setup; however, using ZeroLine Trader as a middleman to save on the extra fee's may be worth it.



Here are the Downloads you will need-
  • NinjaTrader

  • Charting and Trading Platform

  • ZeroLine Trader
  • - Trade Management Software

  • Mailenable
  • - Free Mail Server

  • ActiveState Perl
  • - Free Scripting Software

  • HPT's ZeroLine Trader Perl Script
  • - An email client that checks your email and enters a trade into ZeroLine Trader when a new alert is found in NinjaTrader

  • Interactive Broker’s TWS Demo
  • - A Free Demo account with Interactive Brokers

  • Visual C++ 2005 from Microsoft
  • -This is software required by the InteractiveBrokers API to register properly

    Monday, October 11, 2010

    QuoteTracker to ZeroLine Trader Automated Trade System

    10 comments
    I have written a perl script which enables you to make automated trades based off of signals generated in Quotetracker.(Thanks to Boogster for the original script)
    This automated Trade System works the same way my Bracket Trader Automated System for QuoteTracker works, so I have made 1 video detailing how to setup Zeroline Trader to enable automated trades. I Like Zeroline Trader over Bracket Trader for the Automated Trade system because Zeroline Trader has more options to configure strategies and you can setup the automated trade system to trade multiple symbols very easily.



    Here are some Tips-
    Make Sure your Page is named "Futures" in ZeroLine Trader and your email template is setup to trade the Contract based on the Data Row ID in ZeroLine Trader



    How to setup the Order Email template in QuoteTracker-


    For reference on how to setup the ATS, you may want to watch my other videos.
    Boogster made a very detailed post on how to make an ATS and I decided to make a tutorial video following his guide. If you have a broker that accepts API connections like Interactive Brokers, then you can make this Automated Trading System for Free. Here are the downloads you'll need-

  • Medved Quotetracker
  • - Free Charting Software
  • ZeroLine Trader
  • - Trade Management Software
  • Mailenable
  • - Free Mail Server
  • ActiveState Perl
  • - Free Scripting Software
  • HPT's ZeroLine Trader Perl Script
  • - An email client that checks your email and enters a trade into ZeroLine Trader when a new alert is found in QuoteTracker
  • Interactive Broker’s TWS Demo
  • - A Free Demo account with Interactive Brokers
  • Visual C++ 2005 from Microsoft
  • -This is software required by the InteractiveBrokers API to register properly

    The Videos below were made as a tutorial for setting up QuoteTracker to Bracket Trader as a complete Tutorial. If you had trouble getting the ATS to work for ZeroLine Trader, these other Tutorial videos I made for Bracket Trader ATS may help you, as the only difference between the ATS between the two applications is the Order configuration and Perl Script. The old Perl Script used for BracketTrader will not work for ZeroLine Trader, you must download the new one above.

    HPT's ATS Tutorial Part 1 - Downloading Software Setup


    Part 2 - Installing and Configuring software


    Part 3 - Setting up Quotetracker & ATS Email Tempelate


    Part 4 - Bracket Trader Setup & Live Trade


    Part 5 - ATS Exit Signals & IB Demo Account


    Example of ATS Exit signal working


    I would like to give a special thanks to Boogster for his work on the ATS perl script, Jerry for his awesome charting software QuoteTracker, and Hong for his excellent Trade Management software ZeroLine Trader.

    Wednesday, September 29, 2010

    Interactive Brokers Data Feed vs. Optimus Futures Rithmic Data Feed Video

    1 comments
    This video is comparing IB's data feed vs. Rithmic data feed from Optimus Futures brokerage. IB's data feed is down on ICE, and Rithmic is working as usual.

    Tuesday, September 28, 2010

    MY TF chart with signals

    0 comments
    The first 11 charts is 1 day of TF on a 10 tick chart.











    10 tick chart
    20 tick chart
    30 sec chart

    Saturday, September 18, 2010

    Correlation Trader vs. Signal Trader

    0 comments
    Crude Oil Correlation vs AUD/JPY & AUD/USD

    Crude Oil Signals

    Correlations only work until they don't. Friday, we saw Crude Oil get crushed. I made the mistake of basing my trades off the correlation of AUD/USD, AUD/JPY vs Crude Oil. This trade idea may work on a longer term basis(several Days), but I am a Day Trader, and I need to stick to what works for me, and right now, trading signals on a minute to minute basis and using stops has been working fabulously.

    Thursday, September 02, 2010

    Crude Oil Intermarket Correlation vs AUD.JPY & Intraday Trend Analysis

    0 comments
    As you can see from the charts, Crude Oil and the AUD/JPY have been highly correlated as of late. We see Crude as a buy when it is oversold relative to AUD/JPY and Crude as a sell when overbought relative to AUD/JPY.


    In this chart you can see how AUD/USD put in a higher low when AUD/JPY & Crude Oil were putting in a low for the day, suggesting a bullish divergence.


    A common theme intraday for Crude Oil has been a second initiation in buying/selling in the direction of VWAP around 1 to 1:30pm EST, with a close near the low/high of day.(Please note my charts are Pacific time- Add 3hrs for EST)






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